Monday Night NFL Betting: BUFFALO BILLS at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11/23)

PRO FOOTBALL — November 23

BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND
(America’s Bookie Line: Patriots -7, Total 47.5) — The Buffalo defense had no success against Tom Brady the first time around, as he passed for 466 yards and led the team to 40 points. It has been said that they have never quite gotten comfortable with the adjustments Rex Ryan has made on this defense that was so outstanding last year that it actually helped the Bills win at Gillette Stadium. Brady is missing Julian Edelman (and previous to that, Dion Lewis), but we have faith that he can compensate with Danny Amendola, double tight ends, a better running game, etc. This team is #1 in points per drive and #2 in yards per drive, with 48.7% on third down. The Pats’ offensive line situation is the best it’s been in a while, so that’s a positive. They are not going to be stopped for very long, if at all.

Buffalo isn’t going to roll over, though. Tyrod Taylor (8.2 yards per attempt, the same as Brady) showed in the first meeting that, despite three interceptions, he is ready to fire till the end, and even though the Pats have been tough against the run lately (allowing 221 yards in the last four games), the Bills are in pretty good shape to move on the ground, with the formidable duo of LeSean McCoy and impressive rookie Karlos Williams (6.2 ypc). They had 160 rush yards vs. New England in the first meeting with Williams playing a minor role. And they have 414 yards over the last two. Jamie Collins, the great linebacker, is out again this week for Bill Belichick. Don’t forget the presence of Sammy Watkins either, as he is relatively healthy. This could be a barn burner.

PLAY BY JAY: OVER 47.5 ***

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)